Friday, January 02, 2009

Wild Card Game: Colts at Chargers

This is a rematch of the game played on November 23rd. The Colts won that game by 3 points. The Chargers have won their last four games to make the playoffs, entering the postseason with an 8-8 record. Indianopolis finished with a 12-4 record. The Colts have won their last 9 games. And who is going to pick a team who is 12-4 with 9 wins in a row entering the playoffs as a STRONG wildcard? Well, it would just be foolish... to pick the Chargers.
Quarterback Comparison
NameQB RatingComp-AttComp %YardsTD-IntFumbles

Peyton Manning

95.0

371-555

66.8%

4,002

27-12

1

Philip Rivers

105.5

312-478

65.3%

4,009

34-11

8

Wow, based on statistics, Rivers is the better QB. He has more TDs, fewer interceptions, just a little more yardage and a higher QB rating. He has eight fumbles, four lost, which is a lot more than Manning, who has one fumble that wasn't lost.
Rushing Comparison
NameCarriesYardsTDsCatches

Yards

TDs

Joseph Addai (Colts)

155

544

5

25

206

2

Dominic Rhodes (Colts)

152

538

6

45

302

3

LaDainian Tomlinson

292

1,110

11

52

426

1

Tomlinson is better than the Colts rushers combined, except when you consider the catching part of the game, then the Colts rushers are better. Still, I would personally like to have Tomlinson over the Colts rushers. But that is just me.
Receiving Comparison
NameCatchesYardsTDsFumbles

Reggie Wayne

82

1,145

6

0

Dallas Clark

77

848

6

2

Anthony Gonzalez

57

664

4

0

Vincent Jackson

59

1,098

7

1

Antonio Gates

60

704

8

1

Chris Chambers

33

462

5

0

The Colts have the better receivers. Although Vincent Jackson is a serious threat for the Chargers. Whatever game Jackson has for the Charges is going to determine the way that San Diego will go... and the same goes for Wayne and Clark for the Colts.
Defense Comparison
NameTacklesSacksInts-TDDeflections

Kelvin Hayden

42

0.0

3-1

12

Robert Mathis

47

11.5

0-0

3

Dwight Freeney

28

10.5

0-0

0

Eric Weddle

127

1.0

1-0

5

Quentin Jammer

88

0.0

2-0

19

Shaun Phillips

76

7.5

0-0

4

I like the Chargers defense on this one, at least the pass rush. Pass defense? It's about the same. Forecast: The numbers tell me San Diego, of all things. But my gut tells me that the obvious thing is to go with the Colts. It just makes sense to go with the Colts. And that is what I will do. Colts take this one 27-13.

0 Random Thoughts: