Sunday, December 21, 2008

Game 15: Bears vs. Packers

This game should go differently from what happened when the two met earlier this season in Green Bay. The Packers won that game 37-3, the only win the Packers have since they took a bye. There record is 1-6 after the bye week.

Quarterback Comparrison
NameQB RatingComp-AttComp %Yards

TD-Int

Fumbles

Aaron Rodgers

91.8

296-466

63.5%

3,470

23-12

8

Kyle Orton

80.1

236-401

58.9%

2,586

15-10

6

The Packers have the better QB... despite the last seven games. I guess I should note that the Bears have won three of their last four.
Rushing Comparrison
NameCarriesYardsTDsCatches

Yards

TDs

Ryan Grant

268

1,036

4

12

73

0

Matt Forte

280

1,115

7

58

424

4

The Bears have a better runningback. Period. Not only does Forte have more yards, more rushing TDs, but he also is involved in the passing game, thus the Bears running back is a stronger threat.
Receiving Comparrison
NameCatchesYardsTDsFumbles

Greg Jennings

69

1,153

8

1

Donald Driver

62

838

4

0

Jordy Nelson

30

330

2

0

Devin Hester

43

568

3

0

Greg Olson

45

495

3

2

Rashied Davis

33

410

2

0

The Packers have the better receivers. Forte is the big target for Orton, but he is good at spreading things around, which is why there has been good fortune for the Bears of late. Jennings and Driver are the favorite Packer targets, and with those numbers, they make the most out of what comes their way.
Defense Comparrison
NameTacklesSacksInts-TDDeflections

Nick Collins

65

0.0

5-3

10

Charles Woodson

54

3.0

5-2

14

Aaron Kampman

53

9.5

0-0

1

Lance Briggs

99

0.5

3-0

10

Charles Tillman

80

0.0

3-1

16

Alex Brown

38

6.0

0-0

3

The Bears have better numbers in regards to tackles. But the Packers have the better pass rush, higher numbers on players with sacks and interceptions. They seem evenly matched with passes being deflected.



Forecast: Despite the fact that the Bears have the better record and are driving for a playoff spot (may or may not happen) the numbers pull toward the Packers. This game is being played in Chicago... where the Bears are 5-2 and on the road, the Packers are 2-5. And that could be the stat that gives the Bears the edge. Chicago takes this one, again a close one, with a score of 24-23.

Home Field

1 Random Thoughts:

terry said...

at halftime, i was sure you had missed this prediction by a mile.